Levels are holding, so I spent my second move for the month of April.

Today I did a fair amount of buying inside my IRA. Tomorrow I will likely have to make another move with my TSP. Let me make this quick and easy.

As of today, we have to ask, how confident are we that the markets are going to move up from Friday’s close? We have seen markets move quick up and down, and I will be the first to admit that it is exhausting at times attempting to get a feel or trend. So I will look at levels I want to see broken and held, and finally, if this happens, we have no choice.

I spoke last night about levels that needed to hold and what my move would be. It has changed.

Like I said, it was a no-win situation going into last night, and my gut was right. I just had a feeling that the pressure from his own party, following that one tweet, would make him bend. It is not about being right or wrong on current events, but it is when it comes to investing.

So we need to talk about tomorrow.

Let me just talk about the current markets and how it is a no win situation.

Is price telling us it is time to dip a toe back in? Is this going to be another pump and dump? We have seen at least two since the end of February. Another threat of total destruction looms over a country over which we already claimed victory. That creates more uncertainty on the markets. A deal has to be made by Tuesday at 8pm or the fight is back on.

I came across a saying that reflects my usual belief: the price is always right.

I intend to keep this brief. I am watching, trying to find an edge on whether this particular pump and dump will be different. Looking at the price of oil and the average of 7-11 ships a day getting to the Strait of Hormuz, have we really seen any change that will bring down the price of diesel fuel?

I do not think any business is going to be able to absorb this cost increase, and it will affect them and all of us. I also plan to sit out tomorrow and watch the developments. On Friday the markets are closed. Over the weekend maybe a plan will reveal itself.

It was a rough month, but it ended with a big bang! I’m not 100% sure what drove it or if the current level is the bottom, but it almost felt like there was some serious coverage of short positions and fund managers balancing their quarterly books.

Tomorrow is the last day of the month, and if you have move left, tomorrow no later than 11:59 AM, you can tweak it. I do find it fascinating that if you take the news cycle out of the equation and just look at the stock market, we are seeing a repeat of last year’s event.

So the big question is: Will April 7th mark the low again in 2026?